In today’s post for the sexiest philosophy blog online, I’ll take a look at the fourth section of Hume’s Enquiry, and try to make sense of the so-called “problem of induction”. Hume begins by differentiating those things which are possibly true into either “Relations of Ideas” (true logically, by the parts making up the whole; something like a priori truths discoverable by mere thought) and “Matters of Fact” (true conditionally based upon objective reality). Then he explains that “Matters of Fact” are judged true or false through the use of cause and effect, which is where it gets really interesting (perhaps even sexy, some might say), because he says that the relationship of cause and effect cannot be understood outside of experience (it is not a priori given). But why exactly is that so important?
It’s important because most of what expect and “understand” in our daily lives are based upon the notion of induction, which is to say that we expect similar results from similar actions / situations. We have, every single day of our lives, experienced the law of gravity as true, and so we assume that when he drop a dense object from some height, it will fall downwards towards the surface of the earth. People don’t go skydiving and expect to fly up when they leave the plane. However, since induction is not given a priori, we cannot assume that our natural laws will hold at all times. A good way of understanding this which I have come across in my study of philosophy is a hypothetical example:
Imagine, if you will, an infinite (constructed, not absolute) room full of unlabeled boxes. You have been given the unenviable task of cataloging the contents of all the boxes. You open one box, and in it, you find 30 bags of Munchies Cheese Fix, the greatest snack known to mankind. You open a second box, and you find the same thing. And so forth, up to a million boxes, always finding the 30 bags of the delicious snack. You then leave the room and tell your employer that every box in the infinite room contains 30 bags of Munchies. Would you be justified in saying so? Of course not. The millionth-and-one box may have contained 25 bags of Munchies. Or perhaps it was full of venomous snakes. The point is, you can’t assume, no matter how many times the relationship has held true in the past, that it will hold true in the future. This is the problem of induction.
What Hume is pointing out is that, since everything we know about “Matters of Fact” (which is most of our knowledge) is based on cause-and-effect, which suffers from the problem of induction, then we cannot say for certain that many things we take for granted (all of physics, for example) will continue to hold true in the future. We might be able to say that it is probable, or likely, but we can never say it is definite or certain.
Sexy, sexy stuff.